National Weather Service guidance, bolstered by GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus, projects a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward "67°F or below" at 74% implied probability amid a post-cold frontal airmass. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight lingering low-level onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and potential for light showers or fog, which have capped highs 20-30°F below preceding warm days following the frontal passage on April 2. This setup aligns with early April climatology (normal max ~56°F), though inherent model uncertainty persists—new 12z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories. Watch NWS updates for shifts in boundary layer moisture or upper-level patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 73%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 6%
72-73°F 3.6%
$17,017 Объем
$17,017 Объем
67°F or below
73%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 73%
68-69°F 16%
70-71°F 6%
72-73°F 3.6%
$17,017 Объем
$17,017 Объем
67°F or below
73%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance, bolstered by GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus, projects a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward "67°F or below" at 74% implied probability amid a post-cold frontal airmass. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight lingering low-level onshore flow, persistent cloud cover, and potential for light showers or fog, which have capped highs 20-30°F below preceding warm days following the frontal passage on April 2. This setup aligns with early April climatology (normal max ~56°F), though inherent model uncertainty persists—new 12z runs tomorrow could refine trajectories. Watch NWS updates for shifts in boundary layer moisture or upper-level patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы