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Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?

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56-57°F 21%

54-55°F 19%

58-59°F 18%

50-51°F 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

56-57°F 21%

54-55°F 19%

58-59°F 18%

50-51°F 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

47°F or below

$48 Объем

6%

48-49°F

$11 Объем

9%

50-51°F

$11 Объем

16%

52-53°F

$76 Объем

18%

54-55°F

$22 Объем

19%

56-57°F

$11 Объем

21%

58-59°F

$11 Объем

18%

60-61°F

$21 Объем

11%

62-63°F

$11 Объем

8%

64-65°F

$11 Объем

8%

66°F or higher

$124 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC's April 6 high temperature in a tight mid-50s°F cluster—56-57°F at 26.5% implied probability leading 54-55°F at 24.0%—mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 55-56°F. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs depicting a weak cold frontal boundary stalling over the Northeast, fostering increased cloud cover and capping diurnal heating, against climatological normals of 56°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include the front's precise timing and strength: an earlier surge boosts chances for 52-55°F via persistent overcast skies, while southward lag enables brief sunny breaks pushing toward 58-61°F. New 12Z forecasts expected today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$353
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC's April 6 high temperature in a tight mid-50s°F cluster—56-57°F at 26.5% implied probability leading 54-55°F at 24.0%—mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 55-56°F. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs depicting a weak cold frontal boundary stalling over the Northeast, fostering increased cloud cover and capping diurnal heating, against climatological normals of 56°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include the front's precise timing and strength: an earlier surge boosts chances for 52-55°F via persistent overcast skies, while southward lag enables brief sunny breaks pushing toward 58-61°F. New 12Z forecasts expected today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$353
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «56-57°F» с 21%, за ним следует «54-55°F» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 21¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 21%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?» — «56-57°F» с 21%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 21%. Следующий ближайший исход — «54-55°F» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.