Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–18°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness, which limits solar insolation and suppresses highs below the early-April climatological average of 17°C; heavier precipitation favors 14–15°C outcomes, while partial clearing could push toward 17–18°C. Daily updates from MGM and ECMWF tomorrow will refine steering patterns from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea region.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
16°C 29%
15°C 25%
14°C 23%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
11%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
23%
15°C
25%
16°C
29%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C or higher
16%
16°C 29%
15°C 25%
14°C 23%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Объем
4%
11°C
$1 Объем
11%
12°C
$0 Объем
8%
13°C
$0 Объем
14%
14°C
$0 Объем
23%
15°C
$7 Объем
25%
16°C
$0 Объем
29%
17°C
$6 Объем
18%
18°C
$5 Объем
17%
19°C
$19 Объем
17%
20°C or higher
$25 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–18°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness, which limits solar insolation and suppresses highs below the early-April climatological average of 17°C; heavier precipitation favors 14–15°C outcomes, while partial clearing could push toward 17–18°C. Daily updates from MGM and ECMWF tomorrow will refine steering patterns from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$68Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–18°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness, which limits solar insolation and suppresses highs below the early-April climatological average of 17°C; heavier precipitation favors 14–15°C outcomes, while partial clearing could push toward 17–18°C. Daily updates from MGM and ECMWF tomorrow will refine steering patterns from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$68Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–18°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness, which limits solar insolation and suppresses highs below the early-April climatological average of 17°C; heavier precipitation favors 14–15°C outcomes, while partial clearing could push toward 17–18°C. Daily updates from MGM and ECMWF tomorrow will refine steering patterns from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea region.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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