Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 26%
15°C 17%
13°C 14%
14°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
12%
15°C
17%
16°C
26%
17°C
18%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 26%
15°C 17%
13°C 14%
14°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$58 Объем
1%
10°C
$26 Объем
3%
11°C
$10 Объем
6%
12°C
$10 Объем
8%
13°C
$0 Объем
14%
14°C
$7 Объем
12%
15°C
$10 Объем
17%
16°C
$64 Объем
26%
17°C
$28 Объем
18%
18°C
$10 Объем
7%
19°C or higher
$42 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$231Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$231Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply a midday high near 14°C for Ankara on April 6, with significant spread—ranging 12-18°C across members—fueling trader uncertainty and closely matched probabilities for 13°C (11.5%) through 19°C or higher (14.5%). Warmer outcomes hinge on potential amplification of a mid-level ridge boosting insolation and downslope warming, while cooler bins reflect higher likelihood of cloud cover and a progressing trough from the northwest, per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligning at 13-15°C. Day-4 model divergence remains typical for spring transitional weather; key updates from daily 12Z runs and MGM bulletins expected through April 5 could sharpen consensus amid climatological April 6 averages of 15°C at Esenboğa Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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