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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?

апр. 3

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апр. 5

апр. 6

апр. 3

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апр. 5

апр. 6

14°C 31%

13°C 22%

15°C 20%

16°C 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

14°C 31%

13°C 22%

15°C 20%

16°C 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

7°C or below

$449 Объем

<1%

8°C

$734 Объем

<1%

9°C

$896 Объем

1%

10°C

$209 Объем

2%

11°C

$239 Объем

2%

12°C

$306 Объем

5%

13°C

$665 Объем

22%

14°C

$287 Объем

31%

15°C

$348 Объем

20%

16°C

$347 Объем

20%

17°C or higher

$542 Объем

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,022
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–16°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 at Esenboğa International Airport station, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 13°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) short-range forecasts indicating cloudy conditions and cool northerly flow suppressing highs. Divergence among outcomes stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover persistence, with some runs showing partial clearing that could push toward 15–16°C; recent 24-hour updates shifted odds cooler from prior 15°C favoritism amid a passing frontal system. Climatological April 5 highs average 15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Watch MGM and model refreshes at 00Z/12Z for shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,022
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «14°C» с 31%, за ним следует «13°C» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?» — «14°C» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.