Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Toronto's April 2 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 1–6°C amid model spread from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. ECCC's latest 7-day outlook, issued March 29, projects a 2°C maximum under mixed sun and clouds with 60% chance of showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping daytime heating after recent cooling from March 28's 1°C high. Slightly warmer odds stem from potential delays in cloud onset or lighter precipitation allowing brief insolation, contrasting cooler bets tied to persistent frontal moisture and northwest flow; climatological early-April highs average 9°C but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal readings. New ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
1°C 34%
3°C 33%
6°C or higher 26%
4°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
-4°C or below
3%
-3°C
11%
-2°C
9%
-1°C
10%
0°C
17%
1°C
20%
2°C
19%
3°C
24%
4°C
20%
5°C
17%
6°C or higher
27%
1°C 34%
3°C 33%
6°C or higher 26%
4°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
-4°C or below
$29 Объем
3%
-3°C
$13 Объем
11%
-2°C
$9 Объем
9%
-1°C
$5 Объем
10%
0°C
$1 Объем
17%
1°C
$14 Объем
20%
2°C
$14 Объем
19%
3°C
$16 Объем
24%
4°C
$0 Объем
20%
5°C
$0 Объем
17%
6°C or higher
$16 Объем
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Toronto's April 2 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 1–6°C amid model spread from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. ECCC's latest 7-day outlook, issued March 29, projects a 2°C maximum under mixed sun and clouds with 60% chance of showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping daytime heating after recent cooling from March 28's 1°C high. Slightly warmer odds stem from potential delays in cloud onset or lighter precipitation allowing brief insolation, contrasting cooler bets tied to persistent frontal moisture and northwest flow; climatological early-April highs average 9°C but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal readings. New ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$117Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Toronto's April 2 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 1–6°C amid model spread from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. ECCC's latest 7-day outlook, issued March 29, projects a 2°C maximum under mixed sun and clouds with 60% chance of showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping daytime heating after recent cooling from March 28's 1°C high. Slightly warmer odds stem from potential delays in cloud onset or lighter precipitation allowing brief insolation, contrasting cooler bets tied to persistent frontal moisture and northwest flow; climatological early-April highs average 9°C but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal readings. New ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$117Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Toronto's April 2 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 1–6°C amid model spread from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. ECCC's latest 7-day outlook, issued March 29, projects a 2°C maximum under mixed sun and clouds with 60% chance of showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping daytime heating after recent cooling from March 28's 1°C high. Slightly warmer odds stem from potential delays in cloud onset or lighter precipitation allowing brief insolation, contrasting cooler bets tied to persistent frontal moisture and northwest flow; climatological early-April highs average 9°C but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal readings. New ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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