Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 1 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 1 апреля?
14°C или выше 66%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
8°C 7.9%
4°C или ниже
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
3%
7°C
4%
8°C
8%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
21%
14°C или выше
66%
14°C или выше 66%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
8°C 7.9%
4°C или ниже
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
3%
7°C
4%
8°C
8%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
21%
14°C или выше
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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