Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 27°C (30.5%) and 28°C (29.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting the latest Climatempo forecast of 26°C amid cloudy skies, morning rain, and afternoon thunderstorms, but adjusted upward for the city's pronounced urban heat island effect, which routinely boosts metropolitan readings 1–3°C above rural stations like the airport. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show variability of 25–29°C due to uncertain cloud cover and timing of passing fronts during the autumn transition, with historical early-April highs averaging 26°C but recent March warmth (28–29°C) and fading La Niña influences tilting toward mild highs. INMET updates and new model runs expected within 48 hours could refine this, as inherent forecast uncertainty persists three days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 2 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 2 апреля?
27°C 31%
28°C 30%
26°C 25%
30°C 11%
23°C или ниже
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
30%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
8%
32°C
7%
33°C или выше
3%
27°C 31%
28°C 30%
26°C 25%
30°C 11%
23°C или ниже
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
30%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
8%
32°C
7%
33°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 27°C (30.5%) and 28°C (29.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting the latest Climatempo forecast of 26°C amid cloudy skies, morning rain, and afternoon thunderstorms, but adjusted upward for the city's pronounced urban heat island effect, which routinely boosts metropolitan readings 1–3°C above rural stations like the airport. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show variability of 25–29°C due to uncertain cloud cover and timing of passing fronts during the autumn transition, with historical early-April highs averaging 26°C but recent March warmth (28–29°C) and fading La Niña influences tilting toward mild highs. INMET updates and new model runs expected within 48 hours could refine this, as inherent forecast uncertainty persists three days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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