Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, with market-implied odds clustered around 20-30°C outcomes due to divergent short-range forecast models amid the autumn transition. AccuWeather and Climatempo ensembles project daytime highs of 26-28°C under mostly cloudy skies with 70-87% chances of afternoon thunderstorms and showers, following a warm late-March pattern (30°C highs) and a dip to 25°C on March 31 from heavy precipitation. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating versus potential clearing or convective timing at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport; subtle cold air advection from recent southern fronts adds variability. Watch daily INMET updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
28°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
17%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
18%
28°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
20°C or below
$29 Объем
4%
21°C
$20 Объем
12%
22°C
$23 Объем
17%
23°C
$19 Объем
10%
24°C
$14 Объем
10%
25°C
$14 Объем
22%
26°C
$14 Объем
20%
27°C
$14 Объем
29%
28°C
$86 Объем
28%
29°C
$32 Объем
17%
30°C or higher
$24 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, with market-implied odds clustered around 20-30°C outcomes due to divergent short-range forecast models amid the autumn transition. AccuWeather and Climatempo ensembles project daytime highs of 26-28°C under mostly cloudy skies with 70-87% chances of afternoon thunderstorms and showers, following a warm late-March pattern (30°C highs) and a dip to 25°C on March 31 from heavy precipitation. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating versus potential clearing or convective timing at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport; subtle cold air advection from recent southern fronts adds variability. Watch daily INMET updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Объем
$292Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, with market-implied odds clustered around 20-30°C outcomes due to divergent short-range forecast models amid the autumn transition. AccuWeather and Climatempo ensembles project daytime highs of 26-28°C under mostly cloudy skies with 70-87% chances of afternoon thunderstorms and showers, following a warm late-March pattern (30°C highs) and a dip to 25°C on March 31 from heavy precipitation. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating versus potential clearing or convective timing at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport; subtle cold air advection from recent southern fronts adds variability. Watch daily INMET updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$292Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, with market-implied odds clustered around 20-30°C outcomes due to divergent short-range forecast models amid the autumn transition. AccuWeather and Climatempo ensembles project daytime highs of 26-28°C under mostly cloudy skies with 70-87% chances of afternoon thunderstorms and showers, following a warm late-March pattern (30°C highs) and a dip to 25°C on March 31 from heavy precipitation. Key differentiators include cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating versus potential clearing or convective timing at the resolving station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport; subtle cold air advection from recent southern fronts adds variability. Watch daily INMET updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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