Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 52% implied probability, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime maximum near 19°C under cloudy skies with light rain, similar to yesterday's observed 18°C peak at Shuangliu International Airport station. Persistent low-level clouds and precipitation from a passing frontal system are suppressing solar heating, capping peak temperatures below recent warmer days like March 27's 23°C amid clearer conditions. Current morning readings around 13°C with 80-90% humidity and northeast winds at 8 mph align with model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) clustering 17-19°C, while historical late-March averages of 17-20°C provide context for this tight range. Official hourly data releases through evening will refine resolution, with potential afternoon clearing tipping toward 19°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30?
18°C 50%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
20°C or higher 7.0%
NEW
$25,780 Объем
NEW
$25,780 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
16°C
3%
17°C
26%
18°C
50%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
7%
18°C 50%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
20°C or higher 7.0%
NEW
$25,780 Объем
NEW
$25,780 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
16°C
$768 Объем
3%
17°C
$190 Объем
26%
18°C
$170 Объем
50%
19°C
$426 Объем
22%
20°C or higher
$1,705 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 52% implied probability, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime maximum near 19°C under cloudy skies with light rain, similar to yesterday's observed 18°C peak at Shuangliu International Airport station. Persistent low-level clouds and precipitation from a passing frontal system are suppressing solar heating, capping peak temperatures below recent warmer days like March 27's 23°C amid clearer conditions. Current morning readings around 13°C with 80-90% humidity and northeast winds at 8 mph align with model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) clustering 17-19°C, while historical late-March averages of 17-20°C provide context for this tight range. Official hourly data releases through evening will refine resolution, with potential afternoon clearing tipping toward 19°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Объем
$25,780Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 52% implied probability, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime maximum near 19°C under cloudy skies with light rain, similar to yesterday's observed 18°C peak at Shuangliu International Airport station. Persistent low-level clouds and precipitation from a passing frontal system are suppressing solar heating, capping peak temperatures below recent warmer days like March 27's 23°C amid clearer conditions. Current morning readings around 13°C with 80-90% humidity and northeast winds at 8 mph align with model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) clustering 17-19°C, while historical late-March averages of 17-20°C provide context for this tight range. Official hourly data releases through evening will refine resolution, with potential afternoon clearing tipping toward 19°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,780Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Chengdu at 52% implied probability, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime maximum near 19°C under cloudy skies with light rain, similar to yesterday's observed 18°C peak at Shuangliu International Airport station. Persistent low-level clouds and precipitation from a passing frontal system are suppressing solar heating, capping peak temperatures below recent warmer days like March 27's 23°C amid clearer conditions. Current morning readings around 13°C with 80-90% humidity and northeast winds at 8 mph align with model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) clustering 17-19°C, while historical late-March averages of 17-20°C provide context for this tight range. Official hourly data releases through evening will refine resolution, with potential afternoon clearing tipping toward 19°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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