Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 11-12°C, aligning trader sentiment with 48% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher and strong support for 10°C (19%) and 11°C (19%). A persistent upper-level trough over the eastern Mediterranean is channeling cool northeasterly winds into central Anatolia, combined with widespread cloud cover and potential light showers that suppress daytime solar heating. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours adjusted projections cooler following observed sub-average highs in late March, diverging from early April climatological norms of 14-16°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's next updates, alongside daily global model refreshes, will clarify intensification risks or steering changes ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 48%
10°C 19%
9°C 18%
7°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
16%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
15%
12°C or higher
48%
12°C or higher 48%
10°C 19%
9°C 18%
7°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
2°C or below
$205 Объем
1%
3°C
$205 Объем
1%
4°C
$205 Объем
1%
5°C
$205 Объем
1%
6°C
$0 Объем
16%
7°C
$101 Объем
17%
8°C
$0 Объем
17%
9°C
$0 Объем
18%
10°C
$0 Объем
19%
11°C
$0 Объем
15%
12°C or higher
$0 Объем
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 11-12°C, aligning trader sentiment with 48% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher and strong support for 10°C (19%) and 11°C (19%). A persistent upper-level trough over the eastern Mediterranean is channeling cool northeasterly winds into central Anatolia, combined with widespread cloud cover and potential light showers that suppress daytime solar heating. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours adjusted projections cooler following observed sub-average highs in late March, diverging from early April climatological norms of 14-16°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's next updates, alongside daily global model refreshes, will clarify intensification risks or steering changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Объем
$921Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 11-12°C, aligning trader sentiment with 48% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher and strong support for 10°C (19%) and 11°C (19%). A persistent upper-level trough over the eastern Mediterranean is channeling cool northeasterly winds into central Anatolia, combined with widespread cloud cover and potential light showers that suppress daytime solar heating. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours adjusted projections cooler following observed sub-average highs in late March, diverging from early April climatological norms of 14-16°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's next updates, alongside daily global model refreshes, will clarify intensification risks or steering changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$921Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 11-12°C, aligning trader sentiment with 48% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher and strong support for 10°C (19%) and 11°C (19%). A persistent upper-level trough over the eastern Mediterranean is channeling cool northeasterly winds into central Anatolia, combined with widespread cloud cover and potential light showers that suppress daytime solar heating. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours adjusted projections cooler following observed sub-average highs in late March, diverging from early April climatological norms of 14-16°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's next updates, alongside daily global model refreshes, will clarify intensification risks or steering changes ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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