Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18–21°C, with 19°C leading at 30% implied probability amid tight clustering reflecting forecast model spread and short-term uncertainty. Latest World Weather Information Service guidance, issued March 30 morning from China Meteorological Administration data, projects a high of 21°C under cloudy skies following light rain on March 30–31 with highs of 19°C and 18°C, signaling a warming trend from recent 15–17°C daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting afternoon solar insolation and peak heating during the diurnal cycle, plus urban heat island effects in Shanghai; ensemble models like GFS show slight divergence between 18–21°C. Hourly updates and overnight ECMWF runs could refine odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
18°C 33%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
19%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
18%
21°C
15%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 33%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
14°C or below
$372 Объем
2%
15°C
$37 Объем
3%
16°C
$35 Объем
10%
17°C
$46 Объем
19%
18°C
$45 Объем
33%
19°C
$59 Объем
30%
20°C
$149 Объем
18%
21°C
$491 Объем
15%
22°C
$557 Объем
4%
23°C
$242 Объем
1%
24°C or higher
$252 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18–21°C, with 19°C leading at 30% implied probability amid tight clustering reflecting forecast model spread and short-term uncertainty. Latest World Weather Information Service guidance, issued March 30 morning from China Meteorological Administration data, projects a high of 21°C under cloudy skies following light rain on March 30–31 with highs of 19°C and 18°C, signaling a warming trend from recent 15–17°C daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting afternoon solar insolation and peak heating during the diurnal cycle, plus urban heat island effects in Shanghai; ensemble models like GFS show slight divergence between 18–21°C. Hourly updates and overnight ECMWF runs could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$2,284Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18–21°C, with 19°C leading at 30% implied probability amid tight clustering reflecting forecast model spread and short-term uncertainty. Latest World Weather Information Service guidance, issued March 30 morning from China Meteorological Administration data, projects a high of 21°C under cloudy skies following light rain on March 30–31 with highs of 19°C and 18°C, signaling a warming trend from recent 15–17°C daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting afternoon solar insolation and peak heating during the diurnal cycle, plus urban heat island effects in Shanghai; ensemble models like GFS show slight divergence between 18–21°C. Hourly updates and overnight ECMWF runs could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,284Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18–21°C, with 19°C leading at 30% implied probability amid tight clustering reflecting forecast model spread and short-term uncertainty. Latest World Weather Information Service guidance, issued March 30 morning from China Meteorological Administration data, projects a high of 21°C under cloudy skies following light rain on March 30–31 with highs of 19°C and 18°C, signaling a warming trend from recent 15–17°C daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting afternoon solar insolation and peak heating during the diurnal cycle, plus urban heat island effects in Shanghai; ensemble models like GFS show slight divergence between 18–21°C. Hourly updates and overnight ECMWF runs could refine odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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