Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (40%) and 21°C (39%) for Chongqing's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating during late March's transitional spring weather. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models like ECMWF analogs project highs around 20-22°C, with averages near 21°C historically, driven by lengthening daylight, southerly flows, and urban heat island effects in the megacity basin. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—more persistent low clouds cap at 21°C, while breaks allow 22°C—and light winds limiting mixing; recent runs diverge slightly on insolation totals. Monitor hourly observations from official stations through evening for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 30?
21°C 55%
22°C 39%
20°C 15%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
6%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
39%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 55%
22°C 39%
20°C 15%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
6%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
39%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (40%) and 21°C (39%) for Chongqing's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating during late March's transitional spring weather. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models like ECMWF analogs project highs around 20-22°C, with averages near 21°C historically, driven by lengthening daylight, southerly flows, and urban heat island effects in the megacity basin. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—more persistent low clouds cap at 21°C, while breaks allow 22°C—and light winds limiting mixing; recent runs diverge slightly on insolation totals. Monitor hourly observations from official stations through evening for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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