Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 3 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 78°F or higher at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting 75°F amid moderating temperatures following March's record-breaking heat wave. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows slight divergence, with some runs near 68°F due to persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs, while others indicate ridge amplification could boost temps into the upper 70s. Historical early April averages hover around 72°F, with resolution based on official downtown Los Angeles observations; watch daily 00Z model updates for shifts in upper-level patterns before the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
70-71°F 36%
78°F or higher 29%
72-73°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78°F or higher
22%
70-71°F 36%
78°F or higher 29%
72-73°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
59°F or below
$313 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$156 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
11%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
15%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
19%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
21%
70-71°F
$58 Объем
31%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
22%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
19%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
17%
78°F or higher
$48 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 3 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 78°F or higher at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting 75°F amid moderating temperatures following March's record-breaking heat wave. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows slight divergence, with some runs near 68°F due to persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs, while others indicate ridge amplification could boost temps into the upper 70s. Historical early April averages hover around 72°F, with resolution based on official downtown Los Angeles observations; watch daily 00Z model updates for shifts in upper-level patterns before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$576Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 3 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 78°F or higher at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting 75°F amid moderating temperatures following March's record-breaking heat wave. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows slight divergence, with some runs near 68°F due to persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs, while others indicate ridge amplification could boost temps into the upper 70s. Historical early April averages hover around 72°F, with resolution based on official downtown Los Angeles observations; watch daily 00Z model updates for shifts in upper-level patterns before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$576Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 3 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 78°F or higher at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting 75°F amid moderating temperatures following March's record-breaking heat wave. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows slight divergence, with some runs near 68°F due to persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs, while others indicate ridge amplification could boost temps into the upper 70s. Historical early April averages hover around 72°F, with resolution based on official downtown Los Angeles observations; watch daily 00Z model updates for shifts in upper-level patterns before the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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