Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 68-69°F in Los Angeles on March 30, 2026, directly reflecting Weather Underground observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a daily maximum of 69°F. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus clouds, morning fog reducing visibility to under a quarter mile, and hazy conditions that capped daytime heating despite light west-southwest winds up to 13 mph. National Weather Service data corroborates nearby measurements around 70°F amid +3°F departure from March normals. Following mid-March's record-shattering heat wave with 90s+ across Southern California, cooler onshore flow dominated, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from official sources, as observations are now finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30?
68-69°F 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,606 Объем
$54,606 Объем
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,606 Объем
$54,606 Объем
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 68-69°F in Los Angeles on March 30, 2026, directly reflecting Weather Underground observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a daily maximum of 69°F. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus clouds, morning fog reducing visibility to under a quarter mile, and hazy conditions that capped daytime heating despite light west-southwest winds up to 13 mph. National Weather Service data corroborates nearby measurements around 70°F amid +3°F departure from March normals. Following mid-March's record-shattering heat wave with 90s+ across Southern California, cooler onshore flow dominated, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus for subdued temperatures. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from official sources, as observations are now finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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