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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?

мар. 30

апр. 1

апр. 2

апр. 3

мар. 30

апр. 1

апр. 2

апр. 3

28°C 32%

27°C 25%

25°C 22.7%

26°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,855 Объем

28°C 32%

27°C 25%

25°C 22.7%

26°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,855 Объем

20°C or below

$5,051 Объем

<1%

21°C

$3,886 Объем

<1%

22°C

$3,459 Объем

<1%

23°C

$2,990 Объем

<1%

24°C

$1,352 Объем

2%

25°C

$878 Объем

23%

26°C

$1,165 Объем

14%

27°C

$917 Объем

25%

28°C

$914 Объем

32%

29°C

$810 Объем

8%

30°C or higher

$1,023 Объем

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 1 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers, sunny intervals, and east-northeasterly winds at force 3-4, amid 65-90% humidity from a trough of low pressure edging closer from Guangdong. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between 28°C (31.5%) and 27°C (30.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 27°C if more persistent, versus sunnier breaks pushing to 28°C following today's southerly warmth (already 26-27°C regionally). This above-normal spring outlook aligns with recent highs near 28°C, but model divergences highlight short-term forecast variability; watch HKO's frequent updates through tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution at the Observatory station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,855
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 1 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers, sunny intervals, and east-northeasterly winds at force 3-4, amid 65-90% humidity from a trough of low pressure edging closer from Guangdong. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between 28°C (31.5%) and 27°C (30.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 27°C if more persistent, versus sunnier breaks pushing to 28°C following today's southerly warmth (already 26-27°C regionally). This above-normal spring outlook aligns with recent highs near 28°C, but model divergences highlight short-term forecast variability; watch HKO's frequent updates through tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution at the Observatory station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,855
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «28°C» с 32%, за ним следует «27°C» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» — «28°C» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «27°C» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.