Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and aligned sites like tenki.jp indicating highs near 20°C under partly cloudy conditions turning rainy, while ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 17-18°C amid uncertainty in frontal passage timing. This spread arises from variable spring upper-air patterns, including a weakening jet stream trough potentially allowing southerly winds for warmer peaks or persistent clouds capping intensity, against early April historical averages of 17-19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and precipitation odds (40-70%), with JMA daily updates and fresh model runs due by March 30 providing resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
17°C 34%
18°C 28%
16°C 28%
19°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
11%
15°C
11%
16°C
28%
17°C
34%
18°C
35%
19°C or higher
18%
17°C 34%
18°C 28%
16°C 28%
19°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
9°C or below
$566 Объем
4%
10°C
$832 Объем
<1%
11°C
$763 Объем
<1%
12°C
$301 Объем
<1%
13°C
$204 Объем
1%
14°C
$91 Объем
11%
15°C
$73 Объем
11%
16°C
$66 Объем
28%
17°C
$174 Объем
34%
18°C
$93 Объем
35%
19°C or higher
$93 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and aligned sites like tenki.jp indicating highs near 20°C under partly cloudy conditions turning rainy, while ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 17-18°C amid uncertainty in frontal passage timing. This spread arises from variable spring upper-air patterns, including a weakening jet stream trough potentially allowing southerly winds for warmer peaks or persistent clouds capping intensity, against early April historical averages of 17-19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and precipitation odds (40-70%), with JMA daily updates and fresh model runs due by March 30 providing resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Объем
$3,200Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and aligned sites like tenki.jp indicating highs near 20°C under partly cloudy conditions turning rainy, while ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 17-18°C amid uncertainty in frontal passage timing. This spread arises from variable spring upper-air patterns, including a weakening jet stream trough potentially allowing southerly winds for warmer peaks or persistent clouds capping intensity, against early April historical averages of 17-19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and precipitation odds (40-70%), with JMA daily updates and fresh model runs due by March 30 providing resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,200Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and aligned sites like tenki.jp indicating highs near 20°C under partly cloudy conditions turning rainy, while ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 17-18°C amid uncertainty in frontal passage timing. This spread arises from variable spring upper-air patterns, including a weakening jet stream trough potentially allowing southerly winds for warmer peaks or persistent clouds capping intensity, against early April historical averages of 17-19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and precipitation odds (40-70%), with JMA daily updates and fresh model runs due by March 30 providing resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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