Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38%) as Austin's highest temperature today, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F (28%) and 84-85°F (18.5%), reflecting uncertainty in peak diurnal heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and persistent southerly flow. The National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport with sunny skies and south winds 5-10 mph gusting higher, promoting efficient boundary-layer mixing but capping extremes via ventilation. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows spread of 2-4°F due to potential thin cirrus clouds or subtle moisture variations, amid March 2026's record warmth (monthly average already 69.5°F). Hourly ASOS observations will clarify as afternoon heating peaks around 3-5 PM CDT.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on March 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 30?
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
4%
94°F or higher
3%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
75°F or below
$254 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$345 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$247 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$178 Объем
2%
82-83°F
$127 Объем
9%
84-85°F
$186 Объем
20%
86-87°F
$292 Объем
37%
88-89°F
$286 Объем
29%
90-91°F
$127 Объем
9%
92-93°F
$127 Объем
4%
94°F or higher
$517 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38%) as Austin's highest temperature today, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F (28%) and 84-85°F (18.5%), reflecting uncertainty in peak diurnal heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and persistent southerly flow. The National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport with sunny skies and south winds 5-10 mph gusting higher, promoting efficient boundary-layer mixing but capping extremes via ventilation. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows spread of 2-4°F due to potential thin cirrus clouds or subtle moisture variations, amid March 2026's record warmth (monthly average already 69.5°F). Hourly ASOS observations will clarify as afternoon heating peaks around 3-5 PM CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$2,682Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38%) as Austin's highest temperature today, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F (28%) and 84-85°F (18.5%), reflecting uncertainty in peak diurnal heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and persistent southerly flow. The National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport with sunny skies and south winds 5-10 mph gusting higher, promoting efficient boundary-layer mixing but capping extremes via ventilation. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows spread of 2-4°F due to potential thin cirrus clouds or subtle moisture variations, amid March 2026's record warmth (monthly average already 69.5°F). Hourly ASOS observations will clarify as afternoon heating peaks around 3-5 PM CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,682Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38%) as Austin's highest temperature today, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F (28%) and 84-85°F (18.5%), reflecting uncertainty in peak diurnal heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and persistent southerly flow. The National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport with sunny skies and south winds 5-10 mph gusting higher, promoting efficient boundary-layer mixing but capping extremes via ventilation. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows spread of 2-4°F due to potential thin cirrus clouds or subtle moisture variations, amid March 2026's record warmth (monthly average already 69.5°F). Hourly ASOS observations will clarify as afternoon heating peaks around 3-5 PM CDT.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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