Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service and local forecasts (e.g., KXAN, KVUE) projecting Austin's April 2 high near 83°F, with a 81% chance of showers or thunderstorms potentially capping temperatures via cloud cover and precipitation—driving the tight clustering around 82-85°F outcomes at 27.5-22% implied probabilities. March 2026's record warmth (monthly average 69.5°F so far) has carried into early April projections above climatological norms of 77-80°F for early-month highs at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, supported by persistent high pressure yielding south-southeasterly winds. However, model ensembles show divergence on disturbance timing, creating uncertainty; watch daily 12z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS forecast discussions for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 18%
86-87°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
75°F or below
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
7%
94°F or higher
6%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 18%
86-87°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
75°F or below
$5 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$1 Объем
13%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
17%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
19%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
18%
84-85°F
$11 Объем
27%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
18%
88-89°F
$1 Объем
16%
90-91°F
$5 Объем
14%
92-93°F
$9 Объем
7%
94°F or higher
$13 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service and local forecasts (e.g., KXAN, KVUE) projecting Austin's April 2 high near 83°F, with a 81% chance of showers or thunderstorms potentially capping temperatures via cloud cover and precipitation—driving the tight clustering around 82-85°F outcomes at 27.5-22% implied probabilities. March 2026's record warmth (monthly average 69.5°F so far) has carried into early April projections above climatological norms of 77-80°F for early-month highs at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, supported by persistent high pressure yielding south-southeasterly winds. However, model ensembles show divergence on disturbance timing, creating uncertainty; watch daily 12z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS forecast discussions for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$46Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service and local forecasts (e.g., KXAN, KVUE) projecting Austin's April 2 high near 83°F, with a 81% chance of showers or thunderstorms potentially capping temperatures via cloud cover and precipitation—driving the tight clustering around 82-85°F outcomes at 27.5-22% implied probabilities. March 2026's record warmth (monthly average 69.5°F so far) has carried into early April projections above climatological norms of 77-80°F for early-month highs at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, supported by persistent high pressure yielding south-southeasterly winds. However, model ensembles show divergence on disturbance timing, creating uncertainty; watch daily 12z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS forecast discussions for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$46Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service and local forecasts (e.g., KXAN, KVUE) projecting Austin's April 2 high near 83°F, with a 81% chance of showers or thunderstorms potentially capping temperatures via cloud cover and precipitation—driving the tight clustering around 82-85°F outcomes at 27.5-22% implied probabilities. March 2026's record warmth (monthly average 69.5°F so far) has carried into early April projections above climatological norms of 77-80°F for early-month highs at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, supported by persistent high pressure yielding south-southeasterly winds. However, model ensembles show divergence on disturbance timing, creating uncertainty; watch daily 12z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS forecast discussions for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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