Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Denver's March 30 high temperature in a tight cluster around 76-81°F, with 80-81°F leading at 29% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a peak near 81°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds amid a persistent upper-level ridge fueling Colorado's record-shattering March heat wave—including an 87°F mark on March 25. Differentiating factors include potential gusty outflows up to 30 mph from nearby virga evaporation, which could enhance boundary-layer mixing and cap heating below 80°F, versus clearer conditions allowing full insolation for 80-81°F. Ensemble model spreads and intraday cloud variability underpin the uncertainty, with hourly observations at Denver International Airport determining the official high against a March 30 record of 82°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
73°F or below 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
73°F or below
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
73°F or below 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
73°F or below
$1,250 Объем
6%
74-75°F
$576 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$188 Объем
22%
78-79°F
$254 Объем
24%
80-81°F
$277 Объем
34%
82-83°F
$103 Объем
5%
84-85°F
$49 Объем
2%
86-87°F
$38 Объем
2%
88-89°F
$68 Объем
2%
90-91°F
$260 Объем
1%
92°F or higher
$227 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Denver's March 30 high temperature in a tight cluster around 76-81°F, with 80-81°F leading at 29% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a peak near 81°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds amid a persistent upper-level ridge fueling Colorado's record-shattering March heat wave—including an 87°F mark on March 25. Differentiating factors include potential gusty outflows up to 30 mph from nearby virga evaporation, which could enhance boundary-layer mixing and cap heating below 80°F, versus clearer conditions allowing full insolation for 80-81°F. Ensemble model spreads and intraday cloud variability underpin the uncertainty, with hourly observations at Denver International Airport determining the official high against a March 30 record of 82°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Объем
$3,290Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Denver's March 30 high temperature in a tight cluster around 76-81°F, with 80-81°F leading at 29% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a peak near 81°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds amid a persistent upper-level ridge fueling Colorado's record-shattering March heat wave—including an 87°F mark on March 25. Differentiating factors include potential gusty outflows up to 30 mph from nearby virga evaporation, which could enhance boundary-layer mixing and cap heating below 80°F, versus clearer conditions allowing full insolation for 80-81°F. Ensemble model spreads and intraday cloud variability underpin the uncertainty, with hourly observations at Denver International Airport determining the official high against a March 30 record of 82°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,290Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Denver's March 30 high temperature in a tight cluster around 76-81°F, with 80-81°F leading at 29% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a peak near 81°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds amid a persistent upper-level ridge fueling Colorado's record-shattering March heat wave—including an 87°F mark on March 25. Differentiating factors include potential gusty outflows up to 30 mph from nearby virga evaporation, which could enhance boundary-layer mixing and cap heating below 80°F, versus clearer conditions allowing full insolation for 80-81°F. Ensemble model spreads and intraday cloud variability underpin the uncertainty, with hourly observations at Denver International Airport determining the official high against a March 30 record of 82°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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