Following a record-shattering March heatwave in Denver—highlighted by an 87°F high on March 25—the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate a sharp pattern shift toward cooler conditions and increased moisture for April 1, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s highs with 56-57°F leading at 32.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence on partly cloudy skies with 40-60% precipitation chances from an approaching upper-level trough, capping daytime heating via widespread cloud cover and light upslope flow along the Front Range. Historical April 1 normals hover near 60°F, but current cooler air mass advection and timing of any frontal boundaries introduce uncertainty, with new 12Z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 1?
56-57°F 31%
58-59°F 31%
52-53°F 22%
54-55°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
45°F или ниже
5%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
17%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
17%
64°F or higher
6%
56-57°F 31%
58-59°F 31%
52-53°F 22%
54-55°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
45°F или ниже
$111 Объем
5%
46-47°F
$16 Объем
4%
48-49°F
$16 Объем
11%
50-51°F
$4 Объем
17%
52-53°F
$4 Объем
22%
54-55°F
$29 Объем
21%
56-57°F
$12 Объем
31%
58-59°F
$29 Объем
19%
60-61°F
$2 Объем
18%
62-63°F
$6 Объем
17%
64°F or higher
$656 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record-shattering March heatwave in Denver—highlighted by an 87°F high on March 25—the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate a sharp pattern shift toward cooler conditions and increased moisture for April 1, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s highs with 56-57°F leading at 32.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence on partly cloudy skies with 40-60% precipitation chances from an approaching upper-level trough, capping daytime heating via widespread cloud cover and light upslope flow along the Front Range. Historical April 1 normals hover near 60°F, but current cooler air mass advection and timing of any frontal boundaries introduce uncertainty, with new 12Z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$885Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record-shattering March heatwave in Denver—highlighted by an 87°F high on March 25—the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate a sharp pattern shift toward cooler conditions and increased moisture for April 1, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s highs with 56-57°F leading at 32.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence on partly cloudy skies with 40-60% precipitation chances from an approaching upper-level trough, capping daytime heating via widespread cloud cover and light upslope flow along the Front Range. Historical April 1 normals hover near 60°F, but current cooler air mass advection and timing of any frontal boundaries introduce uncertainty, with new 12Z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$885Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a record-shattering March heatwave in Denver—highlighted by an 87°F high on March 25—the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicate a sharp pattern shift toward cooler conditions and increased moisture for April 1, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s highs with 56-57°F leading at 32.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence on partly cloudy skies with 40-60% precipitation chances from an approaching upper-level trough, capping daytime heating via widespread cloud cover and light upslope flow along the Front Range. Historical April 1 normals hover near 60°F, but current cooler air mass advection and timing of any frontal boundaries introduce uncertainty, with new 12Z model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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