Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
67°F or below
16%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Объем
16%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
17%
70-71°F
$1 Объем
25%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
18%
74-75°F
$19 Объем
21%
76-77°F
$5 Объем
17%
78-79°F
$9 Объем
17%
80-81°F
$13 Объем
17%
82-83°F
$230 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$263 Объем
1%
86°F or higher
$110 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Объем
$656Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$656Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы