Latest National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to a cool upper-level trough lingering over the Northeast, driving trader consensus toward 59°F or below (33.5%) as the leading outcome for NYC's highest temperature on April 3, closely matching Central Park's climatological average of 57.1°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread on shortwave timing, cloud cover influencing daytime heating, and onshore flow moderating highs to the low 60s in warmer runs. Outcomes in the 62-67°F range (collectively ~59%) hinge on stronger boundary-layer mixing and ridging, while 70°F+ requires rare warm advection amid spring variability. Watch NWS Area Forecast Discussions and 12Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
59°F or below 34%
60-61°F 15%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
59°F or below
34%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
7%
78°F or higher
1%
59°F or below 34%
60-61°F 15%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
59°F or below
$17 Объем
34%
60-61°F
$5 Объем
15%
62-63°F
$5 Объем
14%
64-65°F
$5 Объем
10%
66-67°F
$5 Объем
11%
68-69°F
$5 Объем
14%
70-71°F
$5 Объем
12%
72-73°F
$5 Объем
7%
74-75°F
$59 Объем
12%
76-77°F
$279 Объем
7%
78°F or higher
$417 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to a cool upper-level trough lingering over the Northeast, driving trader consensus toward 59°F or below (33.5%) as the leading outcome for NYC's highest temperature on April 3, closely matching Central Park's climatological average of 57.1°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread on shortwave timing, cloud cover influencing daytime heating, and onshore flow moderating highs to the low 60s in warmer runs. Outcomes in the 62-67°F range (collectively ~59%) hinge on stronger boundary-layer mixing and ridging, while 70°F+ requires rare warm advection amid spring variability. Watch NWS Area Forecast Discussions and 12Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Объем
$807Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to a cool upper-level trough lingering over the Northeast, driving trader consensus toward 59°F or below (33.5%) as the leading outcome for NYC's highest temperature on April 3, closely matching Central Park's climatological average of 57.1°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread on shortwave timing, cloud cover influencing daytime heating, and onshore flow moderating highs to the low 60s in warmer runs. Outcomes in the 62-67°F range (collectively ~59%) hinge on stronger boundary-layer mixing and ridging, while 70°F+ requires rare warm advection amid spring variability. Watch NWS Area Forecast Discussions and 12Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$807Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models point to a cool upper-level trough lingering over the Northeast, driving trader consensus toward 59°F or below (33.5%) as the leading outcome for NYC's highest temperature on April 3, closely matching Central Park's climatological average of 57.1°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread on shortwave timing, cloud cover influencing daytime heating, and onshore flow moderating highs to the low 60s in warmer runs. Outcomes in the 62-67°F range (collectively ~59%) hinge on stronger boundary-layer mixing and ridging, while 70°F+ requires rare warm advection amid spring variability. Watch NWS Area Forecast Discussions and 12Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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