Trader sentiment clusters around 76-77°F at 31% implied probability for New York City's Central Park high on April 1, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing mid-to-upper 70s peaks amid a stalled upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and potential downslope enhancement off the Appalachians. This follows March's anomalous warmth, including an 80°F record at Central Park on March 11, with climatological April 1 norms near 55°F and a historical max of 83°F. Key uncertainties include cloud cover and slight shower risks from pre-frontal moisture, which could cap temperatures at 74-75°F (20.5%) or drop to 69°F or below (19.5%) if mixing weakens; higher outcomes like 80°F+ hinge on clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
76-77°F 31%
69°F or below 20%
80-81°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
69°F or below
18%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 31%
69°F or below 20%
80-81°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
69°F or below
$424 Объем
18%
70-71°F
$25 Объем
8%
72-73°F
$13 Объем
9%
74-75°F
$16 Объем
20%
76-77°F
$44 Объем
31%
78-79°F
$13 Объем
14%
80-81°F
$97 Объем
18%
82-83°F
$32 Объем
11%
84-85°F
$322 Объем
12%
86-87°F
$35 Объем
4%
88°F or higher
$65 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 76-77°F at 31% implied probability for New York City's Central Park high on April 1, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing mid-to-upper 70s peaks amid a stalled upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and potential downslope enhancement off the Appalachians. This follows March's anomalous warmth, including an 80°F record at Central Park on March 11, with climatological April 1 norms near 55°F and a historical max of 83°F. Key uncertainties include cloud cover and slight shower risks from pre-frontal moisture, which could cap temperatures at 74-75°F (20.5%) or drop to 69°F or below (19.5%) if mixing weakens; higher outcomes like 80°F+ hinge on clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$1,084Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 76-77°F at 31% implied probability for New York City's Central Park high on April 1, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing mid-to-upper 70s peaks amid a stalled upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and potential downslope enhancement off the Appalachians. This follows March's anomalous warmth, including an 80°F record at Central Park on March 11, with climatological April 1 norms near 55°F and a historical max of 83°F. Key uncertainties include cloud cover and slight shower risks from pre-frontal moisture, which could cap temperatures at 74-75°F (20.5%) or drop to 69°F or below (19.5%) if mixing weakens; higher outcomes like 80°F+ hinge on clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,084Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 76-77°F at 31% implied probability for New York City's Central Park high on April 1, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus showing mid-to-upper 70s peaks amid a stalled upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and potential downslope enhancement off the Appalachians. This follows March's anomalous warmth, including an 80°F record at Central Park on March 11, with climatological April 1 norms near 55°F and a historical max of 83°F. Key uncertainties include cloud cover and slight shower risks from pre-frontal moisture, which could cap temperatures at 74-75°F (20.5%) or drop to 69°F or below (19.5%) if mixing weakens; higher outcomes like 80°F+ hinge on clearer skies and stronger subsidence. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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