Korea Meteorological Administration's latest mid-term forecast points to a high near 19°C in Seoul on April 3, driven by persistent spring ridging and recent warm anomalies—March highs reached 19-20°C, accelerating cherry blossom first bloom to coincide with the date. However, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered across 9-19°C outcomes due to model divergences: GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread from 13-20°C amid 30% precipitation odds from an approaching front, cloud cover potentially suppressing peak temperatures. Climatological averages hover at 16°C for early April, with frontal variability typical during East Asian monsoon transition; watch KMA daily updates through April 1 for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
19°C or higher 30%
15°C 22%
14°C 22%
16°C 21%
9°C or below
12%
10°C
17%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
15%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
30%
19°C or higher 30%
15°C 22%
14°C 22%
16°C 21%
9°C or below
12%
10°C
17%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
15%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest mid-term forecast points to a high near 19°C in Seoul on April 3, driven by persistent spring ridging and recent warm anomalies—March highs reached 19-20°C, accelerating cherry blossom first bloom to coincide with the date. However, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered across 9-19°C outcomes due to model divergences: GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread from 13-20°C amid 30% precipitation odds from an approaching front, cloud cover potentially suppressing peak temperatures. Climatological averages hover at 16°C for early April, with frontal variability typical during East Asian monsoon transition; watch KMA daily updates through April 1 for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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