Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Seattle's April 2 high temperature clustering around 51-53°F, driving trader consensus toward 50-51°F (29.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (25.5%), below the April 2 climatological average of 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Persistent marine layer from cool Pacific air masses and northwesterly upper-level flow aloft are suppressing daytime heating, with model spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and onshore flow strength—cooler members factor in thicker stratus decks, while warmer outliers assume partial clearing. NOAA's National Weather Service highlights this transitional spring pattern amid recent high-cloud influences; new 12Z model runs and forecast discussions expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official KSEA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 2 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 2 апреля?
52-53°F 31%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 17%
48-49°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
39°F или ниже
1%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
7%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
5%
58°F или выше
2%
52-53°F 31%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 17%
48-49°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
39°F или ниже
$1,082 Объем
1%
40-41°F
$348 Объем
2%
42-43°F
$405 Объем
7%
44-45°F
$300 Объем
7%
46-47°F
$287 Объем
7%
48-49°F
$321 Объем
13%
50-51°F
$419 Объем
24%
52-53°F
$464 Объем
31%
54-55°F
$336 Объем
17%
56-57°F
$293 Объем
5%
58°F или выше
$287 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Seattle's April 2 high temperature clustering around 51-53°F, driving trader consensus toward 50-51°F (29.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (25.5%), below the April 2 climatological average of 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Persistent marine layer from cool Pacific air masses and northwesterly upper-level flow aloft are suppressing daytime heating, with model spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and onshore flow strength—cooler members factor in thicker stratus decks, while warmer outliers assume partial clearing. NOAA's National Weather Service highlights this transitional spring pattern amid recent high-cloud influences; new 12Z model runs and forecast discussions expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$4,538Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Seattle's April 2 high temperature clustering around 51-53°F, driving trader consensus toward 50-51°F (29.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (25.5%), below the April 2 climatological average of 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Persistent marine layer from cool Pacific air masses and northwesterly upper-level flow aloft are suppressing daytime heating, with model spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and onshore flow strength—cooler members factor in thicker stratus decks, while warmer outliers assume partial clearing. NOAA's National Weather Service highlights this transitional spring pattern amid recent high-cloud influences; new 12Z model runs and forecast discussions expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,538Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Seattle's April 2 high temperature clustering around 51-53°F, driving trader consensus toward 50-51°F (29.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (25.5%), below the April 2 climatological average of 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Persistent marine layer from cool Pacific air masses and northwesterly upper-level flow aloft are suppressing daytime heating, with model spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and onshore flow strength—cooler members factor in thicker stratus decks, while warmer outliers assume partial clearing. NOAA's National Weather Service highlights this transitional spring pattern amid recent high-cloud influences; new 12Z model runs and forecast discussions expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official KSEA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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