Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble weather model outputs for Milan's highest temperature on April 2, with ECMWF and GFS runs clustering peaks between 17°C and 22°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy. ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance projects partly sunny conditions with highs near 18-20°C, consistent with early April climatology (historical averages 16-18°C at Milan Linate Airport) but elevated by recent mild March trends featuring above-normal temperatures and reduced mist. Key differentiators include variable southerly flow strength, potential low cloud intrusions, and diurnal heating rates; tighter probabilities hinge on April 1 forecast updates from official agencies, resolving via official maximum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 2?
18°C 26%
22°C or higher 22%
19°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
20%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
22%
18°C 26%
22°C or higher 22%
19°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
12°C or below
$132 Объем
1%
13°C
$135 Объем
1%
14°C
$2 Объем
10%
15°C
$0 Объем
16%
16°C
$0 Объем
18%
17°C
$0 Объем
19%
18°C
$0 Объем
26%
19°C
$0 Объем
21%
20°C
$0 Объем
20%
21°C
$0 Объем
17%
22°C or higher
$0 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble weather model outputs for Milan's highest temperature on April 2, with ECMWF and GFS runs clustering peaks between 17°C and 22°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy. ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance projects partly sunny conditions with highs near 18-20°C, consistent with early April climatology (historical averages 16-18°C at Milan Linate Airport) but elevated by recent mild March trends featuring above-normal temperatures and reduced mist. Key differentiators include variable southerly flow strength, potential low cloud intrusions, and diurnal heating rates; tighter probabilities hinge on April 1 forecast updates from official agencies, resolving via official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Объем
$270Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble weather model outputs for Milan's highest temperature on April 2, with ECMWF and GFS runs clustering peaks between 17°C and 22°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy. ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance projects partly sunny conditions with highs near 18-20°C, consistent with early April climatology (historical averages 16-18°C at Milan Linate Airport) but elevated by recent mild March trends featuring above-normal temperatures and reduced mist. Key differentiators include variable southerly flow strength, potential low cloud intrusions, and diurnal heating rates; tighter probabilities hinge on April 1 forecast updates from official agencies, resolving via official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$270Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble weather model outputs for Milan's highest temperature on April 2, with ECMWF and GFS runs clustering peaks between 17°C and 22°C amid a high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy. ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance projects partly sunny conditions with highs near 18-20°C, consistent with early April climatology (historical averages 16-18°C at Milan Linate Airport) but elevated by recent mild March trends featuring above-normal temperatures and reduced mist. Key differentiators include variable southerly flow strength, potential low cloud intrusions, and diurnal heating rates; tighter probabilities hinge on April 1 forecast updates from official agencies, resolving via official maximum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы