Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 19–23°C for Milan on April 3, driving the closely matched trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 23% implied probability. Recent mild spring conditions, including highs near 21°C over the past few days under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, support warmer-than-average outcomes—historical early April highs average 17°C at Milano Linate station. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength, which could cap or boost peak heating via insolation and urban heat effects. Traders await daily 12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF, with resolution based on official ARPA Lombardia observations by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
11%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
24%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
18%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
$132 Объем
1%
14°C
$135 Объем
1%
15°C
$0 Объем
11%
16°C
$0 Объем
17%
17°C
$0 Объем
17%
18°C
$0 Объем
17%
19°C
$0 Объем
24%
20°C
$0 Объем
20%
21°C
$0 Объем
22%
22°C
$0 Объем
21%
23°C or higher
$0 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 19–23°C for Milan on April 3, driving the closely matched trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 23% implied probability. Recent mild spring conditions, including highs near 21°C over the past few days under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, support warmer-than-average outcomes—historical early April highs average 17°C at Milano Linate station. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength, which could cap or boost peak heating via insolation and urban heat effects. Traders await daily 12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF, with resolution based on official ARPA Lombardia observations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Объем
$268Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 19–23°C for Milan on April 3, driving the closely matched trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 23% implied probability. Recent mild spring conditions, including highs near 21°C over the past few days under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, support warmer-than-average outcomes—historical early April highs average 17°C at Milano Linate station. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength, which could cap or boost peak heating via insolation and urban heat effects. Traders await daily 12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF, with resolution based on official ARPA Lombardia observations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$268Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 19–23°C for Milan on April 3, driving the closely matched trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 23% implied probability. Recent mild spring conditions, including highs near 21°C over the past few days under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, support warmer-than-average outcomes—historical early April highs average 17°C at Milano Linate station. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength, which could cap or boost peak heating via insolation and urban heat effects. Traders await daily 12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF, with resolution based on official ARPA Lombardia observations by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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