Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tokyo's April 6 high temperature, with models diverging around 21–23°C amid a mild spring pattern warmer than the 18°C April climatological average. The Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-week outlook projects a 25°C peak under cloudy skies with 40% precipitation chance, driven by a developing upper-level ridge ushering subtropical air, but AccuWeather and ensemble guidance lean toward 22°C with partial clearing allowing moderate insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent, southerly wind strength, and urban heat effects; daily JMA updates through April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears via official Tokyo station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
23°C or higher 27%
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
10%
21°C
25%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
27%
23°C or higher 27%
21°C 25%
22°C 23%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$494 Объем
1%
14°C
$489 Объем
2%
15°C
$622 Объем
1%
16°C
$160 Объем
4%
17°C
$182 Объем
4%
18°C
$194 Объем
4%
19°C
$161 Объем
13%
20°C
$215 Объем
10%
21°C
$212 Объем
25%
22°C
$188 Объем
22%
23°C or higher
$265 Объем
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tokyo's April 6 high temperature, with models diverging around 21–23°C amid a mild spring pattern warmer than the 18°C April climatological average. The Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-week outlook projects a 25°C peak under cloudy skies with 40% precipitation chance, driven by a developing upper-level ridge ushering subtropical air, but AccuWeather and ensemble guidance lean toward 22°C with partial clearing allowing moderate insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent, southerly wind strength, and urban heat effects; daily JMA updates through April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears via official Tokyo station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$3,173Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tokyo's April 6 high temperature, with models diverging around 21–23°C amid a mild spring pattern warmer than the 18°C April climatological average. The Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-week outlook projects a 25°C peak under cloudy skies with 40% precipitation chance, driven by a developing upper-level ridge ushering subtropical air, but AccuWeather and ensemble guidance lean toward 22°C with partial clearing allowing moderate insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent, southerly wind strength, and urban heat effects; daily JMA updates through April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears via official Tokyo station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,173Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tokyo's April 6 high temperature, with models diverging around 21–23°C amid a mild spring pattern warmer than the 18°C April climatological average. The Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-week outlook projects a 25°C peak under cloudy skies with 40% precipitation chance, driven by a developing upper-level ridge ushering subtropical air, but AccuWeather and ensemble guidance lean toward 22°C with partial clearing allowing moderate insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent, southerly wind strength, and urban heat effects; daily JMA updates through April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears via official Tokyo station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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