Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward cooler outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with 17°C or below leading at 36.5% implied probability amid forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a mean around 19°C but wide spread of 15–25°C due to uncertain timing of a weak cold front and associated cloud cover. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance highlights below-normal early spring temperatures from lingering northerly airflow and showers, differentiating low-end buckets like 17–19°C from warmer ones, while historical early April highs average 19–21°C with high day-to-day variability. Key factors include soil moisture dampening daytime heating and jet stream positioning; updated model runs expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 2 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 2 апреля?
24°C 39%
17°C или ниже 31%
19°C 29%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C или ниже
31%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
22%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C или выше
2%
24°C 39%
17°C или ниже 31%
19°C 29%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C или ниже
$18 Объем
31%
18°C
$5 Объем
17%
19°C
$19 Объем
29%
20°C
$11 Объем
20%
21°C
$5 Объем
22%
22°C
$5 Объем
22%
23°C
$106 Объем
12%
24°C
$93 Объем
22%
25°C
$30 Объем
9%
26°C
$5 Объем
17%
27°C или выше
$30 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward cooler outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with 17°C or below leading at 36.5% implied probability amid forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a mean around 19°C but wide spread of 15–25°C due to uncertain timing of a weak cold front and associated cloud cover. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance highlights below-normal early spring temperatures from lingering northerly airflow and showers, differentiating low-end buckets like 17–19°C from warmer ones, while historical early April highs average 19–21°C with high day-to-day variability. Key factors include soil moisture dampening daytime heating and jet stream positioning; updated model runs expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$327Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward cooler outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with 17°C or below leading at 36.5% implied probability amid forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a mean around 19°C but wide spread of 15–25°C due to uncertain timing of a weak cold front and associated cloud cover. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance highlights below-normal early spring temperatures from lingering northerly airflow and showers, differentiating low-end buckets like 17–19°C from warmer ones, while historical early April highs average 19–21°C with high day-to-day variability. Key factors include soil moisture dampening daytime heating and jet stream positioning; updated model runs expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$327Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly toward cooler outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2, with 17°C or below leading at 36.5% implied probability amid forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a mean around 19°C but wide spread of 15–25°C due to uncertain timing of a weak cold front and associated cloud cover. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance highlights below-normal early spring temperatures from lingering northerly airflow and showers, differentiating low-end buckets like 17–19°C from warmer ones, while historical early April highs average 19–21°C with high day-to-day variability. Key factors include soil moisture dampening daytime heating and jet stream positioning; updated model runs expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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