Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 22–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, which show highs in this range amid spring warming and above-normal land surface temperatures per the World Meteorological Organization's March–April–May 2026 seasonal outlook. Recent March observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, peaking near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, support this positioning, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover timing, potential cold frontal passages, and diurnal solar heating variations, with 1–2°C uncertainty typical for 72-hour outlooks. Daily forecast updates from CMA will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official METAR maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
23°C 41%
22°C 31%
25°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
10%
20°C
12%
21°C
12%
22°C
31%
23°C
34%
24°C
19%
25°C
14%
26°C
11%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
5%
23°C 41%
22°C 31%
25°C 21%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C or below
$50 Объем
2%
19°C
$0 Объем
10%
20°C
$0 Объем
12%
21°C
$9 Объем
12%
22°C
$1 Объем
31%
23°C
$43 Объем
34%
24°C
$27 Объем
19%
25°C
$0 Объем
14%
26°C
$0 Объем
11%
27°C
$101 Объем
14%
28°C or higher
$55 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 22–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, which show highs in this range amid spring warming and above-normal land surface temperatures per the World Meteorological Organization's March–April–May 2026 seasonal outlook. Recent March observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, peaking near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, support this positioning, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover timing, potential cold frontal passages, and diurnal solar heating variations, with 1–2°C uncertainty typical for 72-hour outlooks. Daily forecast updates from CMA will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official METAR maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$287Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 22–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, which show highs in this range amid spring warming and above-normal land surface temperatures per the World Meteorological Organization's March–April–May 2026 seasonal outlook. Recent March observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, peaking near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, support this positioning, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover timing, potential cold frontal passages, and diurnal solar heating variations, with 1–2°C uncertainty typical for 72-hour outlooks. Daily forecast updates from CMA will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official METAR maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$287Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 22–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, which show highs in this range amid spring warming and above-normal land surface temperatures per the World Meteorological Organization's March–April–May 2026 seasonal outlook. Recent March observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, peaking near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, support this positioning, but differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud cover timing, potential cold frontal passages, and diurnal solar heating variations, with 1–2°C uncertainty typical for 72-hour outlooks. Daily forecast updates from CMA will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official METAR maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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