Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 around 22-25°C, with variations driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes—26°C or higher edges at 24.5% due to scenarios of enhanced southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Recent late-March persistence of daytime highs near 24°C under hazy skies has elevated expectations above historical early-April averages of 20-21°C, but uncertainty lingers from potential frontal passages bringing patchy rain, which could suppress peaks toward 21°C or below. Daily model updates through April 2 will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends, refining trader consensus on this resolution-sensitive market based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
26°C or higher 36%
21°C 20%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
36%
26°C or higher 36%
21°C 20%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$255 Объем
1%
17°C
$0 Объем
16%
18°C
$0 Объем
16%
19°C
$0 Объем
17%
20°C
$0 Объем
18%
21°C
$0 Объем
20%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
18%
24°C
$0 Объем
18%
25°C
$0 Объем
17%
26°C or higher
$8 Объем
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 around 22-25°C, with variations driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes—26°C or higher edges at 24.5% due to scenarios of enhanced southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Recent late-March persistence of daytime highs near 24°C under hazy skies has elevated expectations above historical early-April averages of 20-21°C, but uncertainty lingers from potential frontal passages bringing patchy rain, which could suppress peaks toward 21°C or below. Daily model updates through April 2 will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends, refining trader consensus on this resolution-sensitive market based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$263Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 around 22-25°C, with variations driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes—26°C or higher edges at 24.5% due to scenarios of enhanced southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Recent late-March persistence of daytime highs near 24°C under hazy skies has elevated expectations above historical early-April averages of 20-21°C, but uncertainty lingers from potential frontal passages bringing patchy rain, which could suppress peaks toward 21°C or below. Daily model updates through April 2 will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends, refining trader consensus on this resolution-sensitive market based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$263Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3 around 22-25°C, with variations driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes—26°C or higher edges at 24.5% due to scenarios of enhanced southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Recent late-March persistence of daytime highs near 24°C under hazy skies has elevated expectations above historical early-April averages of 20-21°C, but uncertainty lingers from potential frontal passages bringing patchy rain, which could suppress peaks toward 21°C or below. Daily model updates through April 2 will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends, refining trader consensus on this resolution-sensitive market based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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