Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with closely matched implied probabilities led by 24°C (27%) amid divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance spanning 20–29°C. Recent stormy patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, including isolated rainfall through late March as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service, have disrupted typical spring warming, leaving ambiguity in the development of a high-pressure ridge that could boost daytime highs via subsidence and clear skies. Historical April averages hover around 23–24°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to upper-level trough timing; traders await daily 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for convergence before resolution based on official IMS measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
24°C 23%
30°C or higher 19.4%
25°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
23%
25°C
18%
26°C
18%
27°C
17%
28°C
11%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
19%
24°C 23%
30°C or higher 19.4%
25°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
$6 Объем
7%
21°C
$0 Объем
14%
22°C
$0 Объем
16%
23°C
$0 Объем
16%
24°C
$0 Объем
23%
25°C
$0 Объем
18%
26°C
$1 Объем
18%
27°C
$5 Объем
17%
28°C
$9 Объем
11%
29°C
$13 Объем
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with closely matched implied probabilities led by 24°C (27%) amid divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance spanning 20–29°C. Recent stormy patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, including isolated rainfall through late March as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service, have disrupted typical spring warming, leaving ambiguity in the development of a high-pressure ridge that could boost daytime highs via subsidence and clear skies. Historical April averages hover around 23–24°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to upper-level trough timing; traders await daily 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for convergence before resolution based on official IMS measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$35Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with closely matched implied probabilities led by 24°C (27%) amid divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance spanning 20–29°C. Recent stormy patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, including isolated rainfall through late March as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service, have disrupted typical spring warming, leaving ambiguity in the development of a high-pressure ridge that could boost daytime highs via subsidence and clear skies. Historical April averages hover around 23–24°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to upper-level trough timing; traders await daily 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for convergence before resolution based on official IMS measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$35Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with closely matched implied probabilities led by 24°C (27%) amid divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance spanning 20–29°C. Recent stormy patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, including isolated rainfall through late March as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service, have disrupted typical spring warming, leaving ambiguity in the development of a high-pressure ridge that could boost daytime highs via subsidence and clear skies. Historical April averages hover around 23–24°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to upper-level trough timing; traders await daily 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for convergence before resolution based on official IMS measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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