Official observations from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 15°C on April 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. KNMI real-time measurements corroborated this peak amid partly sunny skies, southwest winds gusting to code yellow levels, and highs aligning with forecasts predicting 14–15°C under mild spring conditions slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C. Model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF had anticipated limited warming potential due to cloud cover and breeze. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, though final KNMI daily summaries expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 4?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$23,949 Объем
$23,949 Объем
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$23,949 Объем
$23,949 Объем
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 15°C on April 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. KNMI real-time measurements corroborated this peak amid partly sunny skies, southwest winds gusting to code yellow levels, and highs aligning with forecasts predicting 14–15°C under mild spring conditions slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C. Model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF had anticipated limited warming potential due to cloud cover and breeze. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, though final KNMI daily summaries expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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