Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicates Chongqing's high temperature on April 8 will likely peak near 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and seasonal spring warming, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 54.5% market-implied probability. This reflects a slight upward shift from earlier runs, driven by observed highs of 22-23°C over the past few days amid above-normal temperatures for early April, exceeding the climatological average of around 23°C. Trader sentiment acknowledges uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or southerly winds, which could limit peaks to 23°C (22.5% odds), with fresh model ensembles and CMA updates expected by April 6 providing key catalysts for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
24°C or higher 54%
23°C 27%
22°C 12%
21°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
12%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
54%
24°C or higher 54%
23°C 27%
22°C 12%
21°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$245 Объем
1%
15°C
$232 Объем
1%
16°C
$316 Объем
1%
17°C
$275 Объем
1%
18°C
$341 Объем
2%
19°C
$64 Объем
6%
20°C
$42 Объем
6%
21°C
$74 Объем
9%
22°C
$43 Объем
12%
23°C
$139 Объем
27%
24°C or higher
$308 Объем
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicates Chongqing's high temperature on April 8 will likely peak near 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and seasonal spring warming, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 54.5% market-implied probability. This reflects a slight upward shift from earlier runs, driven by observed highs of 22-23°C over the past few days amid above-normal temperatures for early April, exceeding the climatological average of around 23°C. Trader sentiment acknowledges uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or southerly winds, which could limit peaks to 23°C (22.5% odds), with fresh model ensembles and CMA updates expected by April 6 providing key catalysts for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Объем
$2,079Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicates Chongqing's high temperature on April 8 will likely peak near 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and seasonal spring warming, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 54.5% market-implied probability. This reflects a slight upward shift from earlier runs, driven by observed highs of 22-23°C over the past few days amid above-normal temperatures for early April, exceeding the climatological average of around 23°C. Trader sentiment acknowledges uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or southerly winds, which could limit peaks to 23°C (22.5% odds), with fresh model ensembles and CMA updates expected by April 6 providing key catalysts for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,079Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicates Chongqing's high temperature on April 8 will likely peak near 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and seasonal spring warming, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 54.5% market-implied probability. This reflects a slight upward shift from earlier runs, driven by observed highs of 22-23°C over the past few days amid above-normal temperatures for early April, exceeding the climatological average of around 23°C. Trader sentiment acknowledges uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or southerly winds, which could limit peaks to 23°C (22.5% odds), with fresh model ensembles and CMA updates expected by April 6 providing key catalysts for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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