Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) fortnightly outlook, released hours ago, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers during the first half of April 2026 amid inter-monsoon conditions, capping maximum temperatures around 31-32°C in Singapore's equatorial climate. Historical April highs average 31-32°C, with cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation often preventing sustained peaks above 33°C, though recent March warmth (up to 35°C on clear days) tempers expectations. The close split between 32°C (36.5%) and 31°C (30.0%) stems from uncertainty in shower coverage—widespread convection favors the lower outcome, while patchy clouds could allow slight intensification. NEA daily forecasts and global models like GFS/ECMWF updates through April 4 will likely sharpen these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C
13%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$759 Объем
1%
26°C
$324 Объем
1%
27°C
$421 Объем
1%
28°C
$443 Объем
1%
29°C
$767 Объем
3%
30°C
$242 Объем
16%
31°C
$232 Объем
34%
32°C
$227 Объем
33%
33°C
$235 Объем
13%
34°C
$194 Объем
6%
35°C or higher
$385 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) fortnightly outlook, released hours ago, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers during the first half of April 2026 amid inter-monsoon conditions, capping maximum temperatures around 31-32°C in Singapore's equatorial climate. Historical April highs average 31-32°C, with cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation often preventing sustained peaks above 33°C, though recent March warmth (up to 35°C on clear days) tempers expectations. The close split between 32°C (36.5%) and 31°C (30.0%) stems from uncertainty in shower coverage—widespread convection favors the lower outcome, while patchy clouds could allow slight intensification. NEA daily forecasts and global models like GFS/ECMWF updates through April 4 will likely sharpen these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Объем
$4,230Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) fortnightly outlook, released hours ago, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers during the first half of April 2026 amid inter-monsoon conditions, capping maximum temperatures around 31-32°C in Singapore's equatorial climate. Historical April highs average 31-32°C, with cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation often preventing sustained peaks above 33°C, though recent March warmth (up to 35°C on clear days) tempers expectations. The close split between 32°C (36.5%) and 31°C (30.0%) stems from uncertainty in shower coverage—widespread convection favors the lower outcome, while patchy clouds could allow slight intensification. NEA daily forecasts and global models like GFS/ECMWF updates through April 4 will likely sharpen these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,230Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) fortnightly outlook, released hours ago, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers during the first half of April 2026 amid inter-monsoon conditions, capping maximum temperatures around 31-32°C in Singapore's equatorial climate. Historical April highs average 31-32°C, with cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation often preventing sustained peaks above 33°C, though recent March warmth (up to 35°C on clear days) tempers expectations. The close split between 32°C (36.5%) and 31°C (30.0%) stems from uncertainty in shower coverage—widespread convection favors the lower outcome, while patchy clouds could allow slight intensification. NEA daily forecasts and global models like GFS/ECMWF updates through April 4 will likely sharpen these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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