Latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate seasonably cool highs around Chicago O'Hare on April 5 under persistent northwest upper-level flow following recent severe thunderstorm risks, driving trader consensus toward 50-53°F outcomes at 19% implied probabilities each. Differentiating factors include model spread on post-frontal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—thinner clouds or stronger winds could push toward 56°F+ (17.5%), while lingering moisture favors 48-49°F (16%). April normals hover near 55°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, but 72-hour uncertainty keeps odds tightly clustered; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
50-51°F 19%
52-53°F 19%
56°F or higher 18%
48-49°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
18%
50-51°F 19%
52-53°F 19%
56°F or higher 18%
48-49°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
37°F or below
$600 Объем
1%
38-39°F
$464 Объем
<1%
40-41°F
$596 Объем
<1%
42-43°F
$371 Объем
5%
44-45°F
$346 Объем
8%
46-47°F
$403 Объем
9%
48-49°F
$611 Объем
16%
50-51°F
$631 Объем
19%
52-53°F
$533 Объем
19%
54-55°F
$546 Объем
14%
56°F or higher
$608 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate seasonably cool highs around Chicago O'Hare on April 5 under persistent northwest upper-level flow following recent severe thunderstorm risks, driving trader consensus toward 50-53°F outcomes at 19% implied probabilities each. Differentiating factors include model spread on post-frontal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—thinner clouds or stronger winds could push toward 56°F+ (17.5%), while lingering moisture favors 48-49°F (16%). April normals hover near 55°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, but 72-hour uncertainty keeps odds tightly clustered; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$5,711Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate seasonably cool highs around Chicago O'Hare on April 5 under persistent northwest upper-level flow following recent severe thunderstorm risks, driving trader consensus toward 50-53°F outcomes at 19% implied probabilities each. Differentiating factors include model spread on post-frontal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—thinner clouds or stronger winds could push toward 56°F+ (17.5%), while lingering moisture favors 48-49°F (16%). April normals hover near 55°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, but 72-hour uncertainty keeps odds tightly clustered; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,711Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate seasonably cool highs around Chicago O'Hare on April 5 under persistent northwest upper-level flow following recent severe thunderstorm risks, driving trader consensus toward 50-53°F outcomes at 19% implied probabilities each. Differentiating factors include model spread on post-frontal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—thinner clouds or stronger winds could push toward 56°F+ (17.5%), while lingering moisture favors 48-49°F (16%). April normals hover near 55°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, but 72-hour uncertainty keeps odds tightly clustered; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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