Forecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles and short-range guidance, including AccuWeather's 28°C projection and Tutiempo's 26°C outlook, have converged on a mid-to-upper 20s°C peak for Chengdu on April 5, mirroring trader consensus with 26°C and 27°C each at 23.5% implied probability amid partial sun and southeasterly winds boosting highs in the Sichuan Basin. Current April 2 cloudiness (23°C high) transitions to very warm conditions with just 5% precipitation risk, but lingering variability in cloud cover and insolation could trim peaks by 1–2°C, differentiating clustered outcomes from 25–28°C. Historical early-April averages near 23°C underscore mild anomaly potential; watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS updates through April 4 for refinements before Shuangliu Airport resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы