Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models clustering around 24-26°C amid a mild spring warming trend. Recent developments include a spike to 27°C on April 1 under high pressure, followed by transient cloudiness and showers cooling April 2 to 22°C, now rebounding with projected sunny skies and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability suppressing peaks by 2-3°C, boundary layer mixing, and potential afternoon convection; new 12Z model runs and CMA updates today could refine the outlook before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
26°C 22%
27°C or higher 22%
24°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
22%
26°C 22%
27°C or higher 22%
24°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models clustering around 24-26°C amid a mild spring warming trend. Recent developments include a spike to 27°C on April 1 under high pressure, followed by transient cloudiness and showers cooling April 2 to 22°C, now rebounding with projected sunny skies and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability suppressing peaks by 2-3°C, boundary layer mixing, and potential afternoon convection; new 12Z model runs and CMA updates today could refine the outlook before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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