Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at 21°C or below, driven by recent cool March highs around 17–19°C amid passing showers and a lingering spring cold air influence from northerly flows, as seen in China Meteorological Administration-aligned forecasts. AccuWeather's latest extended outlook projects a 24°C high under hazy sun with NNE winds at 9 mph, but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–26°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainty, historically common in early April when averages hover 20–22°C. New daily model runs through April 2 could refine landfall probabilities for cooler or warmer outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
21°C or below 32%
24°C 22%
31°C or higher 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
21°C or below
32%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
22%
25°C
14%
26°C
18%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
18%
21°C or below 32%
24°C 22%
31°C or higher 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
21°C or below
$50 Объем
32%
22°C
$0 Объем
14%
23°C
$0 Объем
14%
24°C
$0 Объем
22%
25°C
$0 Объем
14%
26°C
$0 Объем
18%
27°C
$0 Объем
18%
28°C
$101 Объем
15%
29°C
$0 Объем
14%
30°C
$0 Объем
13%
31°C or higher
$30 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at 21°C or below, driven by recent cool March highs around 17–19°C amid passing showers and a lingering spring cold air influence from northerly flows, as seen in China Meteorological Administration-aligned forecasts. AccuWeather's latest extended outlook projects a 24°C high under hazy sun with NNE winds at 9 mph, but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–26°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainty, historically common in early April when averages hover 20–22°C. New daily model runs through April 2 could refine landfall probabilities for cooler or warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Объем
$181Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at 21°C or below, driven by recent cool March highs around 17–19°C amid passing showers and a lingering spring cold air influence from northerly flows, as seen in China Meteorological Administration-aligned forecasts. AccuWeather's latest extended outlook projects a 24°C high under hazy sun with NNE winds at 9 mph, but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–26°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainty, historically common in early April when averages hover 20–22°C. New daily model runs through April 2 could refine landfall probabilities for cooler or warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$181Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at 21°C or below, driven by recent cool March highs around 17–19°C amid passing showers and a lingering spring cold air influence from northerly flows, as seen in China Meteorological Administration-aligned forecasts. AccuWeather's latest extended outlook projects a 24°C high under hazy sun with NNE winds at 9 mph, but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–26°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainty, historically common in early April when averages hover 20–22°C. New daily model runs through April 2 could refine landfall probabilities for cooler or warmer outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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