Latest forecast ensembles from sources like the BBC and ECMWF suggest Chongqing's high on April 5 could reach 25°C amid a warming ridge following sunny conditions on April 4 (28°C), but light rain and cloud cover from lingering frontal systems introduce uncertainty, capping solar insolation and favoring trader-implied odds clustered at 22°C (25.5%) to 24°C (18.5%). This reflects early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 21-23°C and frequent showers suppressing peaks by 2-3°C, as seen in recent model spreads of 3-5°C. Key differentiators include precipitation timing—morning rain versus afternoon clearing—and wind patterns advecting cooler air masses. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new GFS runs tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
22°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C 15%
25°C 13%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
11%
22°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C 15%
25°C 13%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from sources like the BBC and ECMWF suggest Chongqing's high on April 5 could reach 25°C amid a warming ridge following sunny conditions on April 4 (28°C), but light rain and cloud cover from lingering frontal systems introduce uncertainty, capping solar insolation and favoring trader-implied odds clustered at 22°C (25.5%) to 24°C (18.5%). This reflects early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 21-23°C and frequent showers suppressing peaks by 2-3°C, as seen in recent model spreads of 3-5°C. Key differentiators include precipitation timing—morning rain versus afternoon clearing—and wind patterns advecting cooler air masses. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new GFS runs tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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