Extended forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature around 25°C for Chongqing on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 25°C and 26°C at 22% implied probabilities each amid cloudy conditions limiting solar insolation. This tight clustering across 22–28°C outcomes reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level inversions and stratiform clouds often cap daytime heating below climatological early-April averages of 21–23°C. Differentiating factors include potential for brief cloud breaks enhancing diurnal warming to 27–28°C or lingering overcast keeping peaks at 22°C or below; southerly flow could import warmer moist air. Watch CMA updates and new ensemble runs over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
29°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
22°C or below
15%
23°C
16%
24°C
14%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
5%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
29°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Объем
15%
23°C
$92 Объем
16%
24°C
$10 Объем
14%
25°C
$10 Объем
21%
26°C
$10 Объем
21%
27°C
$10 Объем
21%
28°C
$10 Объем
15%
29°C
$10 Объем
18%
30°C
$10 Объем
14%
31°C
$10 Объем
14%
32°C or higher
$40 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Extended forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature around 25°C for Chongqing on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 25°C and 26°C at 22% implied probabilities each amid cloudy conditions limiting solar insolation. This tight clustering across 22–28°C outcomes reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level inversions and stratiform clouds often cap daytime heating below climatological early-April averages of 21–23°C. Differentiating factors include potential for brief cloud breaks enhancing diurnal warming to 27–28°C or lingering overcast keeping peaks at 22°C or below; southerly flow could import warmer moist air. Watch CMA updates and new ensemble runs over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$317Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Extended forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature around 25°C for Chongqing on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 25°C and 26°C at 22% implied probabilities each amid cloudy conditions limiting solar insolation. This tight clustering across 22–28°C outcomes reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level inversions and stratiform clouds often cap daytime heating below climatological early-April averages of 21–23°C. Differentiating factors include potential for brief cloud breaks enhancing diurnal warming to 27–28°C or lingering overcast keeping peaks at 22°C or below; southerly flow could import warmer moist air. Watch CMA updates and new ensemble runs over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$317Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Extended forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high temperature around 25°C for Chongqing on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 25°C and 26°C at 22% implied probabilities each amid cloudy conditions limiting solar insolation. This tight clustering across 22–28°C outcomes reflects inherent spring forecast uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin, where persistent low-level inversions and stratiform clouds often cap daytime heating below climatological early-April averages of 21–23°C. Differentiating factors include potential for brief cloud breaks enhancing diurnal warming to 27–28°C or lingering overcast keeping peaks at 22°C or below; southerly flow could import warmer moist air. Watch CMA updates and new ensemble runs over the next 48 hours for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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