The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast, updated as of March 30, pins Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20-22°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes with implied probabilities hovering around 20-24% for 20-23°C. This reflects model ensemble agreement on lingering northeasterly flow and mid-level moisture suppressing daytime heating, though slight divergences in ECMWF and GFS runs allow for 23°C if cloud breaks enable more solar insolation or 19-20°C with heavier precipitation. Historical April highs average 24°C, but recent cool snaps in late March—such as 18-21°C on March 27-28—temper expectations. Watch for tomorrow's CWA update and fresh model outputs resolving frontal timing uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
23°C 24%
20°C 22%
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
11%
20°C
20%
21°C
15%
22°C
18%
23°C
24%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
7%
23°C 24%
20°C 22%
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
$2,233 Объем
2%
16°C
$386 Объем
4%
17°C
$197 Объем
4%
18°C
$144 Объем
9%
19°C
$98 Объем
11%
20°C
$141 Объем
20%
21°C
$150 Объем
15%
22°C
$209 Объем
18%
23°C
$248 Объем
24%
24°C
$156 Объем
13%
25°C or higher
$474 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast, updated as of March 30, pins Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20-22°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes with implied probabilities hovering around 20-24% for 20-23°C. This reflects model ensemble agreement on lingering northeasterly flow and mid-level moisture suppressing daytime heating, though slight divergences in ECMWF and GFS runs allow for 23°C if cloud breaks enable more solar insolation or 19-20°C with heavier precipitation. Historical April highs average 24°C, but recent cool snaps in late March—such as 18-21°C on March 27-28—temper expectations. Watch for tomorrow's CWA update and fresh model outputs resolving frontal timing uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Объем
$4,435Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast, updated as of March 30, pins Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20-22°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes with implied probabilities hovering around 20-24% for 20-23°C. This reflects model ensemble agreement on lingering northeasterly flow and mid-level moisture suppressing daytime heating, though slight divergences in ECMWF and GFS runs allow for 23°C if cloud breaks enable more solar insolation or 19-20°C with heavier precipitation. Historical April highs average 24°C, but recent cool snaps in late March—such as 18-21°C on March 27-28—temper expectations. Watch for tomorrow's CWA update and fresh model outputs resolving frontal timing uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,435Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast, updated as of March 30, pins Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20-22°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward these closely matched outcomes with implied probabilities hovering around 20-24% for 20-23°C. This reflects model ensemble agreement on lingering northeasterly flow and mid-level moisture suppressing daytime heating, though slight divergences in ECMWF and GFS runs allow for 23°C if cloud breaks enable more solar insolation or 19-20°C with heavier precipitation. Historical April highs average 24°C, but recent cool snaps in late March—such as 18-21°C on March 27-28—temper expectations. Watch for tomorrow's CWA update and fresh model outputs resolving frontal timing uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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