Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (45%) or 12°C (30%) in Paris today, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts projecting peaks around 12-13°C under persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models aligns, showing limited insolation from thick cloud decks and surface temperatures struggling to exceed 13°C amid a stable cool air mass over northern France. Recent observations confirm the pattern: Paris hit 11°C on March 27 and forecasts held at 12°C for March 29, with no signs of ridging or southerly flow to boost heat. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon cloud breaks, though low solar forcing caps upside risk; official station data from Paris-Montsouris will resolve by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 30 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 30 марта?
13°C 45%
12°C 30%
11°C 12%
14°C 7%
$30,004 Объем
$30,004 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C
30%
13°C
45%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 30%
11°C 12%
14°C 7%
$30,004 Объем
$30,004 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C
30%
13°C
45%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 13°C (45%) or 12°C (30%) in Paris today, driven by Météo-France's latest hourly forecasts projecting peaks around 12-13°C under persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models aligns, showing limited insolation from thick cloud decks and surface temperatures struggling to exceed 13°C amid a stable cool air mass over northern France. Recent observations confirm the pattern: Paris hit 11°C on March 27 and forecasts held at 12°C for March 29, with no signs of ridging or southerly flow to boost heat. Key uncertainty lies in potential afternoon cloud breaks, though low solar forcing caps upside risk; official station data from Paris-Montsouris will resolve by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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