Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast, issued around April 1, projects Toronto's highest temperature on April 5 at 7-10°C amid persistent cloud cover and 30-60% chances of showers from a lingering frontal system over southern Ontario, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17.5% for 8°C, 16.5% for 9°C, and 15% each for 10°C and 11°C. This spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and GEM runs diverge by 2-4°C due to variable low-level moisture from Lake Ontario, potential afternoon clearing, and weak pressure gradients limiting convective mixing. Early April climatology shows average highs near 9°C with high day-to-day variability, exacerbated by recent rainy conditions suppressing peaks. Watch for overnight updates from Environment Canada and global models, which could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
8°C 18%
9°C 17%
10°C 16%
11°C 15%
$12,572 Объем
$12,572 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
2%
6°C
6%
7°C
14%
8°C
18%
9°C
17%
10°C
16%
11°C
15%
12°C or higher
9%
8°C 18%
9°C 17%
10°C 16%
11°C 15%
$12,572 Объем
$12,572 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
2°C or below
$767 Объем
<1%
3°C
$736 Объем
<1%
4°C
$1,037 Объем
<1%
5°C
$1,155 Объем
2%
6°C
$1,538 Объем
6%
7°C
$838 Объем
14%
8°C
$1,489 Объем
18%
9°C
$1,045 Объем
17%
10°C
$948 Объем
16%
11°C
$1,142 Объем
15%
12°C or higher
$1,877 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast, issued around April 1, projects Toronto's highest temperature on April 5 at 7-10°C amid persistent cloud cover and 30-60% chances of showers from a lingering frontal system over southern Ontario, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17.5% for 8°C, 16.5% for 9°C, and 15% each for 10°C and 11°C. This spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and GEM runs diverge by 2-4°C due to variable low-level moisture from Lake Ontario, potential afternoon clearing, and weak pressure gradients limiting convective mixing. Early April climatology shows average highs near 9°C with high day-to-day variability, exacerbated by recent rainy conditions suppressing peaks. Watch for overnight updates from Environment Canada and global models, which could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Объем
$12,572Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast, issued around April 1, projects Toronto's highest temperature on April 5 at 7-10°C amid persistent cloud cover and 30-60% chances of showers from a lingering frontal system over southern Ontario, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17.5% for 8°C, 16.5% for 9°C, and 15% each for 10°C and 11°C. This spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and GEM runs diverge by 2-4°C due to variable low-level moisture from Lake Ontario, potential afternoon clearing, and weak pressure gradients limiting convective mixing. Early April climatology shows average highs near 9°C with high day-to-day variability, exacerbated by recent rainy conditions suppressing peaks. Watch for overnight updates from Environment Canada and global models, which could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,572Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest short-term forecast, issued around April 1, projects Toronto's highest temperature on April 5 at 7-10°C amid persistent cloud cover and 30-60% chances of showers from a lingering frontal system over southern Ontario, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17.5% for 8°C, 16.5% for 9°C, and 15% each for 10°C and 11°C. This spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and GEM runs diverge by 2-4°C due to variable low-level moisture from Lake Ontario, potential afternoon clearing, and weak pressure gradients limiting convective mixing. Early April climatology shows average highs near 9°C with high day-to-day variability, exacerbated by recent rainy conditions suppressing peaks. Watch for overnight updates from Environment Canada and global models, which could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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