Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 38-43°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting upper 30s to low 40s amid a persistent post-frontal cool regime. A cold front sweeping through on April 4 introduced northerly winds, showers, and a deep upper trough over the Midwest, suppressing highs 15-20°F below the 56°F climatological normal and capping diurnal heating. Differentiating the closely matched 38-39°F (22.5%) and 40-41°F (23.0%) leaders are model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, and exact low-level wind shear—ECMWF ensembles trend slightly cooler than GFS. New 00z/12z model runs expected later today and NWS updates will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 7 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 7 апреля?
40-41°F 28%
38-39°F 22%
42-43°F 21%
36-37°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
27°F или ниже
<1%
28-29°F
<1%
30-31°F
1%
32-33°F
3%
34-35°F
12%
36-37°F
14%
38-39°F
22%
40-41°F
28%
42-43°F
21%
44-45°F
10%
46°F или выше
5%
40-41°F 28%
38-39°F 22%
42-43°F 21%
36-37°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
27°F или ниже
$445 Объем
<1%
28-29°F
$611 Объем
<1%
30-31°F
$620 Объем
1%
32-33°F
$1,238 Объем
3%
34-35°F
$209 Объем
12%
36-37°F
$208 Объем
14%
38-39°F
$200 Объем
22%
40-41°F
$263 Объем
28%
42-43°F
$256 Объем
21%
44-45°F
$385 Объем
10%
46°F или выше
$714 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 38-43°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting upper 30s to low 40s amid a persistent post-frontal cool regime. A cold front sweeping through on April 4 introduced northerly winds, showers, and a deep upper trough over the Midwest, suppressing highs 15-20°F below the 56°F climatological normal and capping diurnal heating. Differentiating the closely matched 38-39°F (22.5%) and 40-41°F (23.0%) leaders are model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, and exact low-level wind shear—ECMWF ensembles trend slightly cooler than GFS. New 00z/12z model runs expected later today and NWS updates will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$5,150Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 38-43°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting upper 30s to low 40s amid a persistent post-frontal cool regime. A cold front sweeping through on April 4 introduced northerly winds, showers, and a deep upper trough over the Midwest, suppressing highs 15-20°F below the 56°F climatological normal and capping diurnal heating. Differentiating the closely matched 38-39°F (22.5%) and 40-41°F (23.0%) leaders are model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, and exact low-level wind shear—ECMWF ensembles trend slightly cooler than GFS. New 00z/12z model runs expected later today and NWS updates will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,150Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 38-43°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting upper 30s to low 40s amid a persistent post-frontal cool regime. A cold front sweeping through on April 4 introduced northerly winds, showers, and a deep upper trough over the Midwest, suppressing highs 15-20°F below the 56°F climatological normal and capping diurnal heating. Differentiating the closely matched 38-39°F (22.5%) and 40-41°F (23.0%) leaders are model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, and exact low-level wind shear—ECMWF ensembles trend slightly cooler than GFS. New 00z/12z model runs expected later today and NWS updates will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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