India Meteorological Department short-term forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures stabilizing around 36-38°C on April 4 following recent thunderstorms and light rain through March 30-31 that temporarily moderated heat via increased cloud cover and soil moisture. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities near 35-40°C, reflecting this range as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on the extent of post-rain clearing skies and high-pressure ridge strengthening, which could boost solar insolation and daytime highs. Lower outcomes (33-34°C) factor in potential lingering northerly winds or isolated clouds, while upper bins (40°C+) hinge on accelerated pre-monsoon heating akin to historical early-April averages of 36°C. Daily IMD updates and new model runs through April 3 will refine these uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
37°C 22%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
38°C 18%
33°C or below
15%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
18%
37°C
22%
38°C
18%
39°C
18%
40°C
18%
41°C
16%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
37°C 22%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
38°C 18%
33°C or below
15%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
18%
37°C
22%
38°C
18%
39°C
18%
40°C
18%
41°C
16%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department short-term forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures stabilizing around 36-38°C on April 4 following recent thunderstorms and light rain through March 30-31 that temporarily moderated heat via increased cloud cover and soil moisture. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities near 35-40°C, reflecting this range as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on the extent of post-rain clearing skies and high-pressure ridge strengthening, which could boost solar insolation and daytime highs. Lower outcomes (33-34°C) factor in potential lingering northerly winds or isolated clouds, while upper bins (40°C+) hinge on accelerated pre-monsoon heating akin to historical early-April averages of 36°C. Daily IMD updates and new model runs through April 3 will refine these uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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