Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 36°C (32%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 1, narrowly ahead of 37°C (26%) and 35°C (20%), amid inherent uncertainty in early April pre-monsoon forecasts. India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level guidance for Lucknow districts projects maxima around 34.4°C, down from 36.5°C on March 30, due to lingering effects of recent western disturbances bringing thunderstorms and cloud cover through late March, which suppressed insolation and introduced cooler northeasterly winds. However, traders weigh this against climatological early-April averages near 36°C, low soil moisture favoring rapid rebound under clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in central Lucknow versus rural blocks. Updated IMD daily bulletins on March 31 will clarify model consensus and cloud trends pivotal to the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
36°C 32%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
9%
35°C
18%
36°C
32%
37°C
25%
38°C
14%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
37°C 25%
35°C 18%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
9%
35°C
18%
36°C
32%
37°C
25%
38°C
14%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 36°C (32%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 1, narrowly ahead of 37°C (26%) and 35°C (20%), amid inherent uncertainty in early April pre-monsoon forecasts. India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level guidance for Lucknow districts projects maxima around 34.4°C, down from 36.5°C on March 30, due to lingering effects of recent western disturbances bringing thunderstorms and cloud cover through late March, which suppressed insolation and introduced cooler northeasterly winds. However, traders weigh this against climatological early-April averages near 36°C, low soil moisture favoring rapid rebound under clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in central Lucknow versus rural blocks. Updated IMD daily bulletins on March 31 will clarify model consensus and cloud trends pivotal to the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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