Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts for London's highest temperature on April 5—Easter Sunday—at 12-14°C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic pattern delivering cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours emphasize windy conditions across southern England, capping maxima near early April climatological averages of 12-13°C at Heathrow, while brief drier interludes could nudge toward 14°C. Key differentiators include cloud persistence versus sunny breaks and wind speeds above 20 knots reducing perceived warmth. Uncertainty remains high at this 4-day range; watch Met Office updates and tomorrow's ECMWF refresh for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
14°C 26%
11°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
8%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
14°C 26%
11°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$333 Объем
1%
9°C
$324 Объем
1%
10°C
$81 Объем
3%
11°C
$182 Объем
9%
12°C
$135 Объем
27%
13°C
$149 Объем
29%
14°C
$130 Объем
26%
15°C
$105 Объем
8%
16°C
$103 Объем
7%
17°C
$81 Объем
2%
18°C or higher
$96 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts for London's highest temperature on April 5—Easter Sunday—at 12-14°C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic pattern delivering cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours emphasize windy conditions across southern England, capping maxima near early April climatological averages of 12-13°C at Heathrow, while brief drier interludes could nudge toward 14°C. Key differentiators include cloud persistence versus sunny breaks and wind speeds above 20 knots reducing perceived warmth. Uncertainty remains high at this 4-day range; watch Met Office updates and tomorrow's ECMWF refresh for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Объем
$1,718Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts for London's highest temperature on April 5—Easter Sunday—at 12-14°C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic pattern delivering cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours emphasize windy conditions across southern England, capping maxima near early April climatological averages of 12-13°C at Heathrow, while brief drier interludes could nudge toward 14°C. Key differentiators include cloud persistence versus sunny breaks and wind speeds above 20 knots reducing perceived warmth. Uncertainty remains high at this 4-day range; watch Met Office updates and tomorrow's ECMWF refresh for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,718Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts for London's highest temperature on April 5—Easter Sunday—at 12-14°C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic pattern delivering cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds that limit solar heating and daytime peaks. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours emphasize windy conditions across southern England, capping maxima near early April climatological averages of 12-13°C at Heathrow, while brief drier interludes could nudge toward 14°C. Key differentiators include cloud persistence versus sunny breaks and wind speeds above 20 knots reducing perceived warmth. Uncertainty remains high at this 4-day range; watch Met Office updates and tomorrow's ECMWF refresh for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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