Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast ensembles projecting Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 near 60°F, with tight clustering in the 58-63°F range due to inherent spring forecast uncertainty five days out. NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures across western Washington, influenced by fading La Niña patterns favoring upper-level ridging and reduced marine stratus from the Puget Sound. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength, which could cap highs via persistent cloud cover (favoring 58-59°F), versus clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge (boosting toward 62-63°F); historical early-April averages hover at 57°F. Watch daily GFS and ECMWF updates from NWS Seattle for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
58-59°F 32%
60-61°F 31%
62-63°F 14%
64-65°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
49°F or below
13%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
9%
58-59°F 32%
60-61°F 31%
62-63°F 14%
64-65°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
49°F or below
$10 Объем
13%
50-51°F
$111 Объем
12%
52-53°F
$10 Объем
14%
54-55°F
$10 Объем
10%
56-57°F
$10 Объем
21%
58-59°F
$28 Объем
32%
60-61°F
$25 Объем
31%
62-63°F
$20 Объем
22%
64-65°F
$10 Объем
14%
66-67°F
$10 Объем
17%
68°F or higher
$30 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast ensembles projecting Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 near 60°F, with tight clustering in the 58-63°F range due to inherent spring forecast uncertainty five days out. NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures across western Washington, influenced by fading La Niña patterns favoring upper-level ridging and reduced marine stratus from the Puget Sound. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength, which could cap highs via persistent cloud cover (favoring 58-59°F), versus clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge (boosting toward 62-63°F); historical early-April averages hover at 57°F. Watch daily GFS and ECMWF updates from NWS Seattle for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Объем
$274Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast ensembles projecting Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 near 60°F, with tight clustering in the 58-63°F range due to inherent spring forecast uncertainty five days out. NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures across western Washington, influenced by fading La Niña patterns favoring upper-level ridging and reduced marine stratus from the Puget Sound. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength, which could cap highs via persistent cloud cover (favoring 58-59°F), versus clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge (boosting toward 62-63°F); historical early-April averages hover at 57°F. Watch daily GFS and ECMWF updates from NWS Seattle for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$274Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast ensembles projecting Seattle's highest temperature on April 4 near 60°F, with tight clustering in the 58-63°F range due to inherent spring forecast uncertainty five days out. NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook signals 40-50% odds of above-normal temperatures across western Washington, influenced by fading La Niña patterns favoring upper-level ridging and reduced marine stratus from the Puget Sound. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength, which could cap highs via persistent cloud cover (favoring 58-59°F), versus clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge (boosting toward 62-63°F); historical early-April averages hover at 57°F. Watch daily GFS and ECMWF updates from NWS Seattle for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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